Western intelligence agencies believe that Russia is prepared to invade the Ukraine at any minute. 
 
American and British spy agencies have spotted more than 190,000 Russian soldiers surrounding the Ukraine on three sides with fighter jets, transport planes, rockets, helicopters, artillery, and tanks.  What’s more, we’ve all seen the satellite images. 
 
So many of us have been hanging on the edge of our seats waiting to see if the most devastating European war since World War II is about to change our lives. 
 
The Russians tell us over and over again that this is hysteria.  All those tanks and planes, they say, are not for war.  They are for military exercises.  They are for war games, not for the real thing.  To calm us even more, the Russians announced February 15th that some of their troops were returning to their home bases.  But that was apparently not true. 
 
Reuters explained on February 16th that “battle groups were approaching ahead of a likely attack to occupy ‘key terrain’ [with]  additional armoured vehicles, helicopters and a field hospital moving towards Ukraine’s borders.” You don’t move hospitals and blood supplies to the Ukrainian border unless you are planning a war. A bloody, murderous war.
 
Then an anonymous US government spokesman reported  on February 16th  that Russia had actually added 7,000 troops on the Ukrainian border.  In other words, Russia was lying.
 
And more.  Russian state media told its citizens that the Ukraine is “falling into the hands of violent and widespread neo-Nazi thugs” and that neo-Nazi youth groups in the Ukraine are perpetrating a genocide in two of the pieces of the Ukraine Russia seized by force in 2014— Lugansk and Donetsk. On February 16th, Vladimir Putin himself “claimed that Kyiv was committing ‘genocide’ in Donbas.” In fact, the Ukraine’s president was duly elected and is Jewish, something no neo Nazi government would ever allow.  But decent humans like you and me would want to stop a genocide, even if that meant bloodshed.
 
Meanwhile, there’s a bigger picture.  The Ukraine is a chess piece in a great game that straddles the globe.
 
First of all, Russia is part of a hidden alliance: the axis of evil.  That axis includes China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Nicaragua, and Cuba. 
 
The axis of evil is out to weaken, encircle, and isolate  the United States.  It is out to make America a second-rate power.  A has-been.
 
Meanwhile, Russia wants to take back the territories that Vladimir Putin calls “historical Russia, …the 40% of our territory,” he says, “accumulated over a thousand years.”  Putin wants to resurrect the Russian Empire.  And he apparently wants to tuck the territories that were part of the Soviet Union back into Russia’s sphere of influence—countries like Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania, Austria, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia.
 
On the other side of the globe, China has taken over the 1,351 million square miles of the South China Sea.  Now it wants the 482,000-square-mile East China Sea, chunks of disputed territory in India, and the island nation of Taiwan.
 
What’s more, China is building its belt and road initiative, a gigantic global transport project that has given China influence and infrastructure in 135 countries.  China wants to return to a status it held for over 2,000 years, as the center of the world, the center of what it calls “a new world order.”
 
Then there’s south America.  In the 20th century, the United States invoked what was called the Monroe doctrine.  That doctrine said no outside nations would be allowed to meddle in our back yard.  No nations would be allowed to interfere in the central and south American countries to our south.  But the Chinese started signing strategic partnerships with South American nations almost 20 years ago. 
 
Today China’s presidents have visited South America six times.  And leaders like Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro are making pilgrimages to Beijing.
 
What’s more, Russia has talked of putting military assets in Cuba and Venezuela. 
 
Topping it all, we are negotiating to resume the Iran nuclear deal.  Iran is a member of the axis of evil.  And with or without a deal, Iran is on the verge of having nuclear weapons  So a global balance of power is at stake. 
 
Keeping an eye on troop movements near the Ukrainian border is vital.  But don’t lose track of the big picture.  Don’t lose track of the Axis of Evil. 
 
References:
 
Congressional research service, Updated December 14, 2021, China’s Engagement with Latin America and the Caribbean.  https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF10982
 
 
Steve Rosenberg, What is Russia’s Vladimir Putin planning?   https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-59730522